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* Fixes an error causing JavaScript to appear in the output of `partition_html` sometimes.
1174 lines
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HTML
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<h1 class="title" id="page-title">Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 13</h1>
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content="2022-12-13T21:00:57-05:00" datatype="xsd:dateTime"
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rel="sioc:has_creator">Dec 13, 2022 - <a href="/users/press-isw"
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<p style="text-align: left;" align="center"> </p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;" align="center"><strong>Karolina Hird, George
|
||
Barros, Grace Mappes, Madison Williams, and Frederick W.
|
||
Kagan</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;" align="center"><strong>December 13, 6:30pm
|
||
ET</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Click </strong><a
|
||
href="https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375"><strong>here</strong></a><strong>
|
||
to see ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
|
||
This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this
|
||
report.</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Belarusian forces remain unlikely to
|
||
attack Ukraine despite a snap Belarusian military readiness check on
|
||
December 13. </strong>Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko
|
||
ordered a snap comprehensive readiness check of the Belarusian military
|
||
on December 13. The exercise does not appear to be cover for
|
||
concentrating Belarusian and/or Russian forces near jumping-off
|
||
positions for an invasion of Ukraine. It involves Belarusian elements
|
||
deploying to training grounds across Belarus, conducting engineering
|
||
tasks, and practicing crossing the Neman and Berezina rivers (which are
|
||
over 170 km and 70 km away from the Belarusian-Ukrainian border,
|
||
respectively).[1] Social media footage posted on December 13 showed a
|
||
column of likely Belarusian infantry fighting vehicles and trucks
|
||
reportedly moving from Kolodishchi (just east of Minsk) toward Hatava
|
||
(6km south of Minsk).[2] Belarusian forces reportedly deployed 25
|
||
BTR-80s and 30 trucks with personnel toward Malaryta, Brest (about 15 km
|
||
from Ukraine) on December 13.[3] Russian T-80 tanks reportedly deployed
|
||
from the Obuz-Lesnovsky Training Ground in Brest, Belarus, to the Brest
|
||
Training Ground also in Brest (about 30 km from the Belarusian-Ukrainian
|
||
Border) around December 12.[4] Russia reportedly deployed three MiG-31K
|
||
interceptors to the Belarusian airfield in Machulishchy on December
|
||
13.[5] These deployments are likely part of ongoing Russian information
|
||
operations suggesting that Belarusian conventional ground forces might
|
||
join Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.[6] ISW has written at length about
|
||
why Belarus is extraordinarily unlikely to invade Ukraine in the
|
||
foreseeable future.[7]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;" align="center"><a
|
||
href="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/BelarusianReferenceMapDecember13%2C2022.png"><img
|
||
src="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/BelarusianReferenceMapDecember13%2C2022.png"
|
||
width="500" height="765" /></a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Ukrainian officials continue to assess
|
||
that Belarus is unlikely to attack Ukraine as of December 13.
|
||
</strong>The Ukrainian General Staff reiterated on December 13 that the
|
||
situation in northern Ukraine near Belarus has not significantly changed
|
||
and that Ukrainian authorities still have not detected Russian forces
|
||
forming strike groups in Belarus.[8] The Ukrainian State Border Guard
|
||
Service reported that the situation on the border with Belarus is under
|
||
control despite recent Belarusian readiness checks.[9]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Russian milbloggers accused the Russian
|
||
Ministry of Defense (MoD) of engaging in performative "excessive
|
||
reporting" instead of addressing systemic issues with the Russian
|
||
military and Russian operations in Ukraine. </strong>A prominent
|
||
Russian milblogger discussed the "vicious practice of photo reports" in
|
||
the Russian military and noted that Russian soldiers are often made to
|
||
dress in statutory uniforms and appear on camera to propagate a sense of
|
||
preparedness and professionalism instead of actually preparing for
|
||
combat missions.[10] The milblogger emphasized that such demonstrations
|
||
are purely theatrical and create a false sense of coherency in the
|
||
Russian Armed Forces without actually addressing substantive issues with
|
||
logistics, communications, and basic provision of units.[11] Several
|
||
other milbloggers amplified this discussion and accused Russian
|
||
authorities of engaging in "excessive reporting" in order to inundate
|
||
the information space with photo and video artifacts that aim to
|
||
"justify the existence" of the Russian MoD and create a guise of success
|
||
for Russian operations in Ukraine.[12] One source emphasized its
|
||
discontent with such "excessive reporting" and called the Russian MoD
|
||
"the Ministry of Camouflage and Selfies."[13] Russian milbloggers
|
||
continue to leverage their platforms and notoriety to launch nuanced
|
||
critiques at the Russian MoD in a way that continues to indicate a
|
||
growing rift between the bureaucratic practices of the MoD and the
|
||
realities faced by Russian soldiers on the ground and reported on by a
|
||
slate of Russian military correspondents. Such discourse allows
|
||
prominent voices in the nationalist information space to advocate for
|
||
substantive change while undermining the MoD establishment.</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Senior Israeli officials stated that
|
||
Iran seeks to limit the range of missiles it plans to provide
|
||
Russia. </strong><em>Axios </em>reported on December 12 that Iran
|
||
fears international backlash from providing Russia with long range
|
||
missiles to use in the war in Ukraine and noted that United Nations (UN)
|
||
Security Council Resolution 2231 passed in 2015 prevents the transfer or
|
||
receipt of Iranian ballistic missiles with a range over 300 kilometers
|
||
and a payload over 500 kilograms until October 2023.[14] <em>Axios
|
||
</em>noted that violating this resolution could result in a "snapback"
|
||
mechanism that reimposes UN sanctions against Iran.[15]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Ukrainian intelligence reported that
|
||
Russian forces are striking Ukraine with missiles that Ukraine
|
||
transferred to Russian in the 1990s as part of an international
|
||
agreement that Russia explicitly violated by invading Ukraine in
|
||
2014 and 2022. </strong>In a comment to <em>The New York Times
|
||
</em>Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) representative Vadym
|
||
Skibitsky said that Russian forces are using ballistic missiles and
|
||
Tu-160 and Tu-95 strategic bombers that Ukraine transferred to Russia as
|
||
part of the Budapest Memorandum, whereby Ukraine transferred its nuclear
|
||
arsenal to Russia for decommissioning.[16] Russia, the United States,
|
||
and the United Kingdom committed in return to "respect the independence
|
||
and sovereignty and existing borders of Ukraine." This agreement has
|
||
generated some debate about whether or not it committed the United
|
||
States and the United Kingdom to defend Ukraine, which it did not do.
|
||
There can be no debate, however, that by this agreement Russia
|
||
explicitly recognized that Crimea and areas of Donetsk and Luhansk
|
||
Oblasts it occupied in 2014 were parts of Ukraine. By that agreement
|
||
Russia also committed "to refrain from the threat or use of force
|
||
against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine,"
|
||
among many other provisions that Russia has violated. Skibitsky noted
|
||
that Russia has removed the nuclear warhead from these decommissioned
|
||
Kh-55 subsonic cruise missiles, which are now being used to launch
|
||
massive missile strikes on Ukraine.[17]</p>
|
||
<p> <strong>US officials stated on December 13 that the Pentagon is
|
||
finalizing plans to send Patriot missile defense systems to
|
||
Ukraine.</strong> The US officials expect to receive the necessary
|
||
approvals from Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and President Joe Biden,
|
||
and the Pentagon could make a formal announcement as early as December
|
||
15.[18] <em>CNN </em>reported that it is unclear how many Patriot
|
||
missile systems the Pentagon plan would provide Ukraine, but that a
|
||
typical Patriot battery includes up to eight launchers with a capacity
|
||
of four ready-to-fire missiles each, radar targeting systems, computers,
|
||
power generators, and an engagement control station.[19]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Russia continues to use concepts of
|
||
terrorism as a legal framework for domestic repression.
|
||
</strong>Independent Russian outlet <em>Meduza </em>noted on December 13
|
||
that Russia has been expanding the concept of terrorism under Russian
|
||
legislation over the course of the last two decades, and as recently as
|
||
December of this year the State Duma proposed new amendments to the
|
||
Russian Criminal Code that equate sabotage with an act of terrorism.[20]
|
||
<em>Meduza </em>amplified an investigation by another independent
|
||
Russian outlet, <em>Novaya Gazeta</em>, that noted that the Russian
|
||
Federal Security Service (FSB) has transitioned from focusing on
|
||
defining Islamist militant activity in the Caucasus as terrorism to
|
||
orienting terrorism around the concept of Ukrainian "saboteurs."[21] FSB
|
||
Head Alexander Bortnikov relatedly claimed on December 13 that there has
|
||
been an increase in "terrorist" activity within Russia in 2022, which he
|
||
related to Ukrainian Security Services (SBU) supposedly operating with
|
||
Western support.[22] Russian authorities seem to be weaponizing the
|
||
backdrop of the war in Ukraine to justify expansions of terrorism
|
||
legislation under the guise of protecting domestic security. Such
|
||
measures likely afford Russian security authorities greater latitude in
|
||
cracking down on domestic dissent. As ISW has previously reported,
|
||
Russian authorities have taken similar steps to use legal frameworks to
|
||
broadly define individuals and actions as dangerous to Russian security
|
||
and have recently proposed new bills on expanding the definition of
|
||
"foreign agents" and the punishment for crimes considered to be
|
||
sabotage.[23]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Key Takeaways</strong></p>
|
||
<ul style="text-align: left;">
|
||
<li><strong>Belarusian forces remain unlikely to attack Ukraine despite
|
||
a snap Belarusian military readiness check on December
|
||
13.</strong></li>
|
||
<li><strong>Ukrainian officials continue to assess that Belarus is
|
||
unlikely to attack Ukraine as of December 13.</strong></li>
|
||
<li><strong>Senior Israeli officials stated that Iran seeks to limit the
|
||
range of missiles it plans to provide to Russia in order to
|
||
avoid triggering UN "snapback" sanctions.</strong></li>
|
||
<li><strong>Ukrainian intelligence reported that Russian forces are
|
||
striking Ukraine with missiles that Ukraine transferred to
|
||
Russia in the 1990s as part of an international agreement by
|
||
which Russia recognized Crimea and all of Donetsk and Luhansk
|
||
Oblasts as part of Ukraine and committed not to threaten or
|
||
attack Ukraine.</strong></li>
|
||
<li><strong>US officials stated on December 13 that the Pentagon is
|
||
finalizing plans to send Patriot missile defense systems to
|
||
Ukraine.</strong></li>
|
||
<li><strong>Russia continues to use concepts of terrorism as a legal
|
||
framework for domestic repression.</strong></li>
|
||
<li><strong>Russian forces conducted limited counterattacks near Svatove
|
||
and Kreminna.</strong></li>
|
||
<li><strong>Russian forces made marginal advances within Bakhmut and
|
||
continued ground assaults near Avdiivka and Vuhledar.</strong>
|
||
</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Russian forces may be withdrawing from certain areas south
|
||
of the Dnipro River as they continue fortifying rear positions
|
||
in occupied Kherson Oblast.</strong></li>
|
||
<li><strong>Likely Ukrainian actors downed a bridge in Melitopol,
|
||
Zaporizhia Oblast amid increased reports of Ukrainian strikes
|
||
against Russian military assets near Melitopol within the past
|
||
few days.</strong></li>
|
||
<li><strong>The Wagner Group is continuing efforts to use recruits from
|
||
Russian prisoners to generate combat power.</strong></li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
<div><a
|
||
href="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/DraftUkraineCoTDecember13%2C2022.png"><strong><img
|
||
src="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/DraftUkraineCoTDecember13%2C2022.png"
|
||
width="500" height="706" /></strong></a></div>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong><em>We do not report in detail on
|
||
Russian war crimes because those activities are well-covered in
|
||
Western media and do not directly affect the military operations
|
||
we are assessing and forecasting. We will continue to evaluate
|
||
and report on the effects of these criminal activities on the
|
||
Ukrainian military and population and specifically on combat in
|
||
Ukrainian urban areas. We utterly condemn these Russian
|
||
violations of the laws of armed conflict, Geneva Conventions,
|
||
and humanity even though we do not describe them in these
|
||
reports.</em></strong></p>
|
||
<ul style="text-align: left;">
|
||
<li>Ukrainian Counteroffensives—Eastern Ukraine</li>
|
||
<li>Russian Main Effort—Eastern Ukraine (comprised of one subordinate
|
||
and one supporting effort);</li>
|
||
<li>Russian Subordinate Main Effort—Capture the entirety of Donetsk
|
||
Oblast</li>
|
||
<li>Russian Supporting Effort—Southern Axis</li>
|
||
<li>Russian Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts</li>
|
||
<li>Activities in Russian-occupied Areas</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong><span
|
||
style="text-decoration: underline;">Ukrainian
|
||
Counteroffensives</span></strong><strong> (Ukrainian efforts to
|
||
liberate Russian-occupied territories)</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong><span
|
||
style="text-decoration: underline;">Eastern
|
||
Ukraine:</span></strong><strong> (Eastern Kharkiv Oblast-Western
|
||
Luhansk Oblast)</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Russian forces continued limited counterattacks
|
||
to regain positions northwest of Svatove on December 13. The Ukrainian
|
||
General Staff reported that Russian troops unsuccessfully attacked
|
||
toward Novoselivske and Stelmakhivka, both about 15km northwest of
|
||
Svatove.[24] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian troops
|
||
northwest of Svatove are reinforcing positions in preparation for an
|
||
anticipated Russian offensive in the area.[25] Russian forces reportedly
|
||
struck Kupyansk (45km northwest of Svatove) with S-300 surface-to-air
|
||
missiles.[26]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Russian forces conducted limited counterattacks
|
||
west of Kreminna in order to regain lost positions along the
|
||
Svatove-Kreminna line on December 13. The Ukrainian General Staff stated
|
||
that Ukrainian troops repelled Russian attacks near Novoyehorivka (35km
|
||
northwest of Kreminna), Makiivka (22km northwest of Kreminna),
|
||
Chervonopopivka (5km north of Kreminna), and Bilohorivka (10km south of
|
||
Kreminna).[27] A Russian milblogger warned that Ukrainian forces are
|
||
massing for a new offensive along the Svatove-Kreminna line and
|
||
concentrating manpower and equipment in this area.[28] The Russian
|
||
Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Ukrainian forces west of Kreminna
|
||
conducted unsuccessful ground attacks near Terny and Yampolivka.[29]
|
||
Another Russian source claimed that Russian troops are trying to push
|
||
Ukrainian detachments back across the Zherebets River, also west of
|
||
Kreminna.[30]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><a
|
||
href="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Kharkiv%20Battle%20Map%20December%2013%2C2022.png"><img
|
||
src="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Kharkiv%20Battle%20Map%20December%2013%2C2022.png"
|
||
width="500" height="871" /></a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong><span
|
||
style="text-decoration: underline;">Russian Main Effort—Eastern
|
||
Ukraine</span></strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong><span
|
||
style="text-decoration: underline;">Russian Subordinate Main
|
||
Effort—Donetsk Oblast</span></strong><strong> (Russian
|
||
objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed
|
||
territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas)</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Russian sources claimed that Russian troops
|
||
made marginal advances within Bakhmut on December 13. A Russian
|
||
milblogger reported that Wagner Group forces broke through Ukrainian
|
||
defensive lines in the eastern part of Bakhmut and established full
|
||
control of the Bakhmut Champagne Winery and "Siniat" enterprise.[31]
|
||
Russian milbloggers also claimed that Russian troops are advancing down
|
||
several streets in the southeastern and eastern sectors of Bakhmut.[32]
|
||
The Ukrainian General Staff noted that Ukrainian troops are continuing
|
||
to repel Russian assaults northeast of Bakhmut near Verkhnokamianske,
|
||
Soledar, Yakovlivka, and Bakhmutske and south of Bakhmut near
|
||
Klishchiivka, Kurdiumivka, and Mayorsk.[33] A Russian milblogger claimed
|
||
that Russian troops have established control of 90% of Opytne, 3km south
|
||
of Bakhmut.[34] Russian sources continue to emphasize heavy Ukrainian
|
||
losses and claim that Ukrainian troops are rotating or entirely
|
||
withdrawing from parts of Bakhmut.[35]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Russian forces continued ground assaults in the
|
||
Avdiivka-Donetsk City area on December 13. The Ukrainian General Staff
|
||
reported that Russian troops unsuccessfully attacked in the areas of
|
||
Avdiivka and Marinka (on the southwestern outskirts of Donetsk
|
||
City).[36] The Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) 11th Regiment posted
|
||
footage of strikes on Ukrainian positions reportedly in Pervomaiske
|
||
(10km southwest of Avdiivka), and a Russian milblogger claimed that the
|
||
11th Regiment and "Somalia" battalion are active in repelling Ukrainian
|
||
counterattacks near Pervomaiske.[37] Russian sources additionally
|
||
claimed that Russian troops have taken control of the road that runs
|
||
from Marinka to Krasnohorivka (5km north of Marinka), which they
|
||
highlighted as a major blow for the Ukrainian grouping on the
|
||
southwestern outskirts of Donetsk City.[38] Geolocated footage shows
|
||
that Ukrainian forces have retaken positions east of Druzhby Prospekt in
|
||
central Marinka, suggesting that ground in Marinka’s city center is
|
||
constantly contested.[39] Russian sources continued to claim that
|
||
Ukrainian forces are conducting limited counterattacks in the face of
|
||
Russian advances southwest of Donetsk City in the Vuhledar area.[40]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><a
|
||
href="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Donetsk%20Battle%20Map%20December%2013%2C2022.png"><img
|
||
src="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Donetsk%20Battle%20Map%20December%2013%2C2022.png"
|
||
width="500" height="759" /></a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong><span
|
||
style="text-decoration: underline;">Supporting Effort—Southern
|
||
Axis</span></strong><strong> (Russian objective: Maintain
|
||
frontline positions and secure rear areas against Ukrainian
|
||
strikes)</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Russian forces may be withdrawing from certain
|
||
areas south of the Dnipro River as they continue fortifying rear
|
||
positions in occupied Kherson Oblast. The Ukrainian General Staff
|
||
reported on December 13 that Russian forces in the Kherson direction are
|
||
rotating individual units and are withdrawing from Novomykhailivka (west
|
||
of the R47 highway 23km west of Henichesk) and Mykhailivka (on the T2209
|
||
highway 45km northwest of Henichesk).[41] Ukrainian officials have
|
||
previously stated that they aim to prevent Russian forces from being
|
||
able to approach the east (left) bank of the Dnipro River.[42] Images
|
||
posted on December 12 show Russian forces erecting dragon’s teeth
|
||
anti-tank fortifications near Viazivka, Zaporizhia Oblast (just west of
|
||
Melitopol on the E56 Kherson City-Melitopol highway) and Novotroitske
|
||
(northwest of Henichesk on the R47 Nova Kakhovka-Henichesk highway),
|
||
Kherson Oblast.[43] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian
|
||
forces continued to shell areas on the west (right) bank of the Dnipro
|
||
River, including Kherson City and its environs.[44]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Likely Ukrainian actors downed a bridge in
|
||
Melitopol, Zaporizhia Oblast amid increased reports of Ukrainian strikes
|
||
against Russian military assets near Melitopol within the past few days.
|
||
Images from December 13 show significant damage and fallen spans of the
|
||
M14/E58 bridge across the Molochna River in Melitopol (roughly 100km
|
||
behind the front lines), and Russian occupation officials claimed that
|
||
Ukrainian "saboteurs" detonated 15-20kg of explosives to down the bridge
|
||
overnight.[45] Zaporizhia Oblast occupation officials claimed that
|
||
Russian authorities will erect a temporary bypass bridge within two
|
||
weeks and publicized alternate routes for ground transportation.[46]
|
||
Russian officials claimed that the bridge attack did not affect Russian
|
||
logistics routes between Melitopol and Crimea, but some milbloggers
|
||
claimed otherwise and criticized occupation officials for not guarding
|
||
the bridge.[47] The Ukrainian General Staff reported on December 13 that
|
||
Ukrainian strikes destroyed the command post of the Russian 58th
|
||
Combined Arms Army in Melitopol, and further strikes against Enerhodar,
|
||
Tokmak, and Hulyaipole cumulatively wounded 150 personnel and destroyed
|
||
three artillery installations and 10 pieces of equipment.[48] A Russian
|
||
milblogger noted that ongoing Ukrainian strikes against rear areas in
|
||
Zaporizhia Oblast resemble the Ukrainian strategy in advance of the
|
||
Kherson counteroffensive, and cautioned Russian forces to learn from
|
||
military failures in Kherson Oblast.[49]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
|
||
announced on December 13 that it has made progress in negotiations
|
||
regarding the demilitarization of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant
|
||
(ZNPP), and French President Emmanuel Macron claimed that both sides
|
||
agreed to the removal of Russian heavy weapons from the ZNPP grounds
|
||
(Ukraine has no weapons of any sort on the ZNPP grounds).[50] Macron
|
||
stated that negotiations are ongoing regarding the implementation of the
|
||
removal of Russian heavy weapons from the ZNPP.[51] Russian occupation
|
||
officials and milbloggers balked at Macron’s announcement, falsely
|
||
claiming that Macron’s statement included the removal of light weapons
|
||
from the ZNPP grounds.[52] Zaporizhia Oblast occupation official
|
||
Vladimir Rogov claimed that Russian forces do not store heavy weapons at
|
||
the ZNPP grounds and that the removal of light weapons, such as rifles,
|
||
would compromise the physical security of the plant.[53] ISW has
|
||
previously reported on satellite imagery demonstrating that Russian
|
||
forces have stored heavy weapons on and around the ZNPP grounds,
|
||
including under ZNPP infrastructure.[54] IAEA Director-General Rafael
|
||
Grossi stated that he is confident that all sides will reach an
|
||
agreement regarding the ZNPP soon.[55] An agreement regarding the
|
||
demilitarization of the ZNPP remains unlikely to constitute a full or
|
||
partial Russian military withdrawal from the ZNPP or Enerhodar, and
|
||
would not eliminate the ongoing threat to the ZNPP, as ISW has
|
||
previously assessed.[56]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Russian forces continued to conduct routine
|
||
fire west of Hulyaipole and in Dnipropetrovsk and Mykolaiv oblasts on
|
||
December 12. Ukrainian officials reported that Russian forces shelled
|
||
Nikopol and Marhanets, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and Ochakiv, Mykolaiv
|
||
Oblast.[57]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><a
|
||
href="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Kherson-Mykolaiv%20Battle%20Map%20December%2013%2C2022.png"><img
|
||
src="https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Kherson-Mykolaiv%20Battle%20Map%20December%2013%2C2022.png"
|
||
width="500" height="785" /></a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Note: ISW will report on activities in
|
||
Kherson Oblast as part of the Southern Axis in this and subsequent
|
||
updates. Ukraine’s counteroffensive in right-bank Kherson Oblast has
|
||
accomplished its stated objectives, so ISW will not present a
|
||
Southern Ukraine counteroffensive section until Ukrainian forces
|
||
resume counteroffensives in southern Ukraine.</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong><span
|
||
style="text-decoration: underline;">Mobilization and Force
|
||
Generation Efforts</span></strong><strong> (Russian objective:
|
||
Expand combat power without conducting general
|
||
mobilization)</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">The Wagner Group is continuing efforts to use
|
||
recruits from Russian prisons to generate combat power. The Ukrainian
|
||
Resistance Center reported on December 13 that Wagner Group Financier
|
||
Yevgeniy Prigozhin has sent over 23,000 Russian prisoners to the
|
||
Ukrainian front lines as part of his extended effort to bolster his
|
||
political influence and potentially position himself as Putin’s
|
||
successor.[58] The Ukrainian Resistance Center claimed that Russian
|
||
society does not care about the fate of prisoners, allowing Prigozhin to
|
||
use them as cannon fodder in high-risk and high-mortality operations
|
||
while keeping Wagner Group leadership out of combat.[59] Russian
|
||
opposition outlet <em>Meduza </em>amplified a December 12 interview with
|
||
a Wagner POW and Russian convict, Vyacheslav Izmailov, who stated that
|
||
Wagner promised prisoner recruits a six-month contract, 200,000 rubles,
|
||
privileges for their families, complete release from their criminal
|
||
punishment upon completion of the contract, and a safer position in
|
||
trenches along the second front line in Ukraine.[60] Izmailov stated
|
||
that Wagner did not keep any of these promises and, after two weeks of
|
||
training, the prisoner recruits were immediately thrown into the front
|
||
line where the mortality rate was extremely high.[61] Izmailov stated
|
||
that 70 Wagner convicts of his 90-person platoon were killed.[62] </p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">The Ukrainian General Staff reported that
|
||
Russian forces have intensified forced mobilization in occupied
|
||
territories. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces in
|
||
Donetsk Oblast have intensified forced mobilization in an effort to
|
||
replenish losses in the Russian 1st Army Corps (forces of the Donetsk
|
||
People’s Republic).[63] The report stated that Russian forces in
|
||
Horlivka, Donetsk are subjecting residents to forced conscriptions,
|
||
especially residents with previous armored unit experience.[64]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Russian authorities are continuing efforts to
|
||
facilitate the war using legislative measures. The Russian State Duma
|
||
adopted the first reading of a draft law on December 13 which simplifies
|
||
the transfer of military production from federal authorities to Russian
|
||
nongovernment organizations as part of the State Defense Order.[65] The
|
||
initiative is designed to ensure that the production of military
|
||
equipment—like weapons, ammunition, spare vehicle parts, special
|
||
components, and devices—remains proactive and that all such state
|
||
production tasks are accomplished in a timely manner by lessening
|
||
bureaucratic restraints on production.[66] A prominent Russian
|
||
milblogger stated that this draft law is meant to eliminate the
|
||
organizational and bureaucratic obstacles that slow down the efficiency
|
||
of the war.[67]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">The Russian MoD, supported by various
|
||
milbloggers, is attempting to establish a façade of attention to the
|
||
needs of mobilized personnel. One Russian milblogger claimed that
|
||
Russian forces are solving their problems and that professionalism and
|
||
order among mobilized personnel are growing as the Russian forces become
|
||
a "single organism."[68] The milblogger claimed that the Russian MoD has
|
||
supplied forces with new equipment and technology, such as anti-drone
|
||
guns, and that Russian forces improved their warfighting tactics such as
|
||
artillery target-to-fire time.[69] Another Russian milblogger claimed
|
||
that the Russian MoD responded to a video complaint from mobilized
|
||
personnel concerning insufficient equipment by sending that unit new
|
||
equipment.[70] The milblogger stated that the Russian public should be
|
||
proud of what the Russian MoD accomplished and that it is the "best in
|
||
the world."[71]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Russian forces continued to experience issues
|
||
with basic equipment and provisions for mobilized recruits. An
|
||
open-source intelligence aggregator amplified a report that mobilized
|
||
conscripts at a training base in Siberia are falling sick with
|
||
bronchitis and pneumonia <em>en masse</em> likely due to living in tents
|
||
in –30*C (-22*F) temperatures.[72] Open-source intelligence aggregators
|
||
and a Ukrainian source also circulated photos of Russian dragon’s teeth
|
||
barricades decaying in an unspecified location in Ukraine due to harsh
|
||
weather conditions compared to a photo of dragon’s teeth made during
|
||
World War II that appear less degraded despite their decades of age
|
||
difference.[73]</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong><span
|
||
style="text-decoration: underline;">Activity in Russian-occupied
|
||
Areas</span></strong><strong> (Russian objective: consolidate
|
||
administrative control of and annexed areas; forcibly integrate
|
||
Ukrainian civilians into Russian sociocultural, economic, military,
|
||
and governance systems)</strong></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Ukrainian partisans conducted an assassination
|
||
attempt against a Russian occupation official on December 12. The
|
||
Ukrainian Resistance Center reported that Ukrainian partisans conducted
|
||
an improvised explosive device (IED) attack against Kherson Oblast
|
||
occupation Deputy Head Vitaly Bulyuk in his car in Skadovsk, Kherson
|
||
Oblast, killing the car’s driver and injuring Bulyuk.[74] Kherson Oblast
|
||
occupation head Vladimir Saldo condemned the assassination attempt,
|
||
claiming that "Ukrainian terrorists" committed the attack.[75] Saldo
|
||
stated that Bulyuk’s resulting injuries are not life-threatening.[76]
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">Russian authorities announced on December 13
|
||
that they are currently only integrating occupied Donetsk and Luhansk
|
||
oblasts into the Russian judicial system. Russian State Duma Committee
|
||
on State Construction and Legislation First Deputy Chairperson Irina
|
||
Pankina stated that only legislation on the integration of the Donetsk
|
||
and Luhansk People’s Republics (DNR and LNR) into the Russian judicial
|
||
system is "at a high stage of readiness," explicitly stating that the
|
||
legislation "does not apply to Zaporizhia and Kherson" oblasts.[77]
|
||
Pankina did not state a reason for the delay in legislation for occupied
|
||
Zaporizhia and Kherson oblasts.[78] A Russian milblogger claimed that
|
||
Pankina's announcement is "alarming" given that Russia considers all
|
||
four illegally occupied territories as "inalienable territories of the
|
||
Russian Federation."[79] Such disparate treatment of occupied
|
||
territories may contribute to setting information conditions for the
|
||
eventual territorial loss of some or all of Kherson and Zaporizhia
|
||
oblasts, whether intentional or not, and suggests constant confusion in
|
||
Russia’s annexation agenda. </p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><strong>Note: ISW does not receive any
|
||
classified material from any source, uses only publicly available
|
||
information, and draws extensively on Russian, Ukrainian, and
|
||
Western reporting and social media as well as commercially available
|
||
satellite imagery and other geospatial data as the basis for these
|
||
reports. References to all sources used are provided in the endnotes
|
||
of each update. </strong> <span style="font-size: 13.008px;">
|
||
</span></p>
|
||
<div style="text-align: left;">
|
||
<hr align="left" size="1" width="33%" />
|
||
</div>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[1] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/modmilby/20635">https://t.me/modmilby/20635</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[2] <a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/charter_97/status/1602653962489962496?s=20&t=ugpibJSGu-y70HcB76hbyw">https://twitter.com/charter_97/status/1602653962489962496?s=20&t=ugpibJS...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[3] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/stranaua/80168">https://t.me/stranaua/80168</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[4] <a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/MotolkoHelp/status/1602249174908534785;">https://twitter.com/MotolkoHelp/status/1602249174908534785;</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/MotolkoHelp/status/1602249168579330050">https://twitter.com/MotolkoHelp/status/1602249168579330050</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[5] <a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/MotolkoHelp/status/1602656859512602624">https://twitter.com/MotolkoHelp/status/1602656859512602624</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[6] <a
|
||
href="https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-11">https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[7] <a
|
||
href="https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-11">https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[8] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKrfUXaSXmBtthHEgRwMfAms7xEyvyU6N9MAyRYxgkALR2u5l;">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKr...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4xRQuaAKZDWh5NJNYFqB8qtNofCDjngbrWXt2EQTzuzFysAl">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[9] <a
|
||
href="https://www.ukrinform dot">https://www.ukrinform dot</a>
|
||
ua/rubric-ato/3633355-zaava-lukasenka-pro-perevirku-boegotovnosti-biloruskoi-armii-e-nagnitannam-situacii-dpsu.html
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[10] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/rybar/41971;">https://t.me/rybar/41971;</a> <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/rybar/41591">https://t.me/rybar/41591</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[11] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/rybar/41971">https://t.me/rybar/41971</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[12] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/grishkafilippov/11364; https://t.me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV/20582 ; https://t.me/grey_zone/16231 ">https://t.me/grishkafilippov/11364;
|
||
https://t.me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV/2...</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[13] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/grishkafilippov/11364">https://t.me/grishkafilippov/11364</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[14] <a
|
||
href="https://www.axios.com/2022/12/12/ukraine-war-russia-missiles-iran-limit;">https://www.axios.com/2022/12/12/ukraine-war-russia-missiles-iran-limit;</a>
|
||
<a href="https://t.me/maymun5/18091">https://t.me/maymun5/18091</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[15] <a
|
||
href="https://www.axios.com/2022/12/12/ukraine-war-russia-missiles-iran-limit;">https://www.axios.com/2022/12/12/ukraine-war-russia-missiles-iran-limit;</a>
|
||
<a href="https://t.me/maymun5/18091">https://t.me/maymun5/18091</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[16] <a
|
||
href="https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%203007/v3007.pdf;">https://treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%203007/v3007.pdf;</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/12/world/europe/russia-ukraine-missiles.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/12/world/europe/russia-ukraine-missiles....</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[17] <a
|
||
href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/12/world/europe/russia-ukraine-missiles.html?auth=login-facebook">https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/12/world/europe/russia-ukraine-missiles....</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[18] <a
|
||
href="https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/13/politics/us-patriot-missile-defense-system-ukraine/index.html;">https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/13/politics/us-patriot-missile-defense-syste...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-finalizing-plans-send-patriot-missile-defense-system-ukraine-officials-2022-12-13/">https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-finalizing-plans-send-patriot-mi...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[19] <a
|
||
href="https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/13/politics/us-patriot-missile-defense-system-ukraine/index.html">https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/13/politics/us-patriot-missile-defense-syste...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[20] <a
|
||
href="https://sozd.duma.gov dot">https://sozd.duma.gov dot</a>
|
||
ru/bill/253939-8; <a
|
||
href="https://meduza.io/cards/diversantov-priravnyayut-k-terroristam-opravdanie-diversiy-v-nekotoryh-sluchayah-stanet-prestupleniem">https://meduza.io/cards/diversantov-priravnyayut-k-terroristam-opravdani...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[21] <a
|
||
href="https://novayagazeta dot">https://novayagazeta dot</a>
|
||
eu/articles/2022/12/12/vragonostsy</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[22] <a
|
||
href="https://www.interfax-russia dot">https://www.interfax-russia
|
||
dot</a>
|
||
ru/main/bortnikov-otmetil-rost-ugrozy-teraktov-v-regionah-rf-v-svyazi-s-deyatelnostyu-ukrainskih-specsluzhb;
|
||
<a href="https://t.me/readovkanews/48811; https://meduza dot">https://t.me/readovkanews/48811;
|
||
https://meduza dot</a>
|
||
io/feature/2022/12/13/10-let-nazad-fsb-otchityvalas-o-predotvraschenii-desyatkov-teraktov-kotorye-yakoby-gotovili-islamisty-teper-ona-predotvraschaet-terakty-sbu-i-ukrainskih-natsionalistov
|
||
; <a href="https://novayagazeta dot">https://novayagazeta dot</a>
|
||
eu/articles/2022/12/12/vragonostsy</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[23] <a
|
||
href="https://isw.pub/UkrWar120922;">https://isw.pub/UkrWar120922;</a>
|
||
<a href="https://isw.pub/UkrWar120922">https://isw.pub/UkrWar120922</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[24] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4xRQuaAKZDWh5NJNYFqB8qtNofCDjngbrWXt2EQTzuzFysAl">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[25] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/rybar/41969">https://t.me/rybar/41969</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[26] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/stranaua/80134; https://t.me/stranaua/80126;">https://t.me/stranaua/80134;
|
||
https://t.me/stranaua/80126;</a> <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/synegubov/5027">https://t.me/synegubov/5027</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[27] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4xRQuaAKZDWh5NJNYFqB8qtNofCDjngbrWXt2EQTzuzFysAl">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[28] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/rybar/41969">https://t.me/rybar/41969</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[29] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/mod_russia/22630;">https://t.me/mod_russia/22630;</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[30] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/mod_russia/22630; https://t.me/wargonzo/9751">https://t.me/mod_russia/22630;
|
||
https://t.me/wargonzo/9751</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[31] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/rybar/41972">https://t.me/rybar/41972</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[32] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/wargonzo/9769; https://t.me/rybar/41972">https://t.me/wargonzo/9769;
|
||
https://t.me/rybar/41972</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[33] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4xRQuaAKZDWh5NJNYFqB8qtNofCDjngbrWXt2EQTzuzFysAl">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"> </p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[34] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/wargonzo/9769 ">https://t.me/wargonzo/9769 </a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[35] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/mod_russia/22630; https://t.me/kommunist/14173; https://t.me/rybar/41972; https://t.me/RtrDonetsk/13087; https://t.me/miroshnik_r/9844">https://t.me/mod_russia/22630;
|
||
https://t.me/kommunist/14173; https://t...</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[36] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4xRQuaAKZDWh5NJNYFqB8qtNofCDjngbrWXt2EQTzuzFysAl">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[37] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/nm_dnr/9585">https://t.me/nm_dnr/9585</a>\; <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/milchronicles/1388">https://t.me/milchronicles/1388</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[38] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/kommunist/14168; https://t.me/epoddubny/14116; https://t.me/russkiy_opolchenec/35256">https://t.me/kommunist/14168;
|
||
https://t.me/epoddubny/14116; https://t....</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[39] <a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1602554245181734912">https://twitter.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1602554245181734912</a><br /><a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1602554250852438016 ">https://twitter.com/MalcontentmentT/status/1602554250852438016
|
||
</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[40] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/mod_russia/22630; https://t.me/milchronicles/1387 ">https://t.me/mod_russia/22630;
|
||
https://t.me/milchronicles/1387 </a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[41] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4xRQuaAKZDWh5NJNYFqB8qtNofCDjngbrWXt2EQTzuzFysAl">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[42] <a
|
||
href="https://suspilne">https://suspilne</a> dot
|
||
media/336280-vijskovi-rf-zdijsnuut-peredislokaciu-svoih-pidrozdiliv-na-hersonsini/
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[43] <a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1602406567340609558?s=20&t=9H90SnSMC2RGBBD-L2J01g">https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1602406567340609558?s=20&t=9H...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[44] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKrfUXaSXmBtthHEgRwMfAms7xEyvyU6N9MAyRYxgkALR2u5l;">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKr...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4xRQuaAKZDWh5NJNYFqB8qtNofCDjngbrWXt2EQTzuzFysAl">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[45] <a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1602385344535617539?s=20&t=7KUHJj3gEq8UJ8kuEez_pA;">https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1602385344535617539?s=20&t=7K...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1602433326526103553?s=20&t=7KUHJj3gEq8UJ8kuEez_pA;">https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1602433326526103553?s=20&t=7K...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1602435347031400458?s=20&t=7KUHJj3gEq8UJ8kuEez_pA;">https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1602435347031400458?s=20&t=7K...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1602603173528625152?s=20&t=0xztjiV2J7X-tTo7tWBgXQ; https://t.co/xLtxywltpy;">https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1602603173528625152?s=20&t=0xztjiV...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1602378025617821696">https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1602378025617821696</a>
|
||
; <a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1602375838821126145">https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1602375838821126145</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[46] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/BalitskyEV/598;">https://t.me/BalitskyEV/598;</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://t.me/readovkanews/48802;">https://t.me/readovkanews/48802;</a>
|
||
<a href="https://t.me/vrogov/6480;">https://t.me/vrogov/6480;</a> <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/stranaua/80200">https://t.me/stranaua/80200</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[47] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/BalitskyEV/598; https://t.me/readovkanews/48802; https://t.me/vrogov/6480; https://t.me/stranaua/80200; https://t.me/vrogov/6474; https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/16173;">https://t.me/BalitskyEV/598;
|
||
https://t.me/readovkanews/48802; https://...</a> <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV/20565; https://t.me/militarymaps/30969;">https://t.me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV/20565;
|
||
https://t.me/militarymaps/30969;</a> <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/sashakots/37602">https://t.me/sashakots/37602</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[48] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKrfUXaSXmBtthHEgRwMfAms7xEyvyU6N9MAyRYxgkALR2u5l">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKr...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[49] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/rybar/41968">https://t.me/rybar/41968</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[50] <a
|
||
href="https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/pressreleases/update-136-iaea-director-general-statement-on-situation-in-ukraine;">https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/pressreleases/update-136-iaea-director-g...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-zaporizhzhia-removing-heavy-weapons-macron/32174372.html;">https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-zaporizhzhia-removing-heavy-weapons-macr...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/frances-macron-discussion-modalities-over-removing-heavy-weapons-ukraines-2022-12-13/">https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/frances-macron-discussion-modalitie...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[51] <a
|
||
href="https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-zaporizhzhia-removing-heavy-weapons-macron/32174372.html;">https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-zaporizhzhia-removing-heavy-weapons-macr...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/frances-macron-discussion-modalities-over-removing-heavy-weapons-ukraines-2022-12-13/">https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/frances-macron-discussion-modalitie...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[52] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/vrogov/6488;">https://t.me/vrogov/6488;</a> <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/16174">https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/16174</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[53] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/vrogov/6488">https://t.me/vrogov/6488</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[54] <a
|
||
href="https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-8;">https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august6;">https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass...</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-8;">https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;"><a
|
||
href="https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-29">https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[55] <a
|
||
href="https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/pressreleases/update-136-iaea-director-general-statement-on-situation-in-ukraine">https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/pressreleases/update-136-iaea-director-g...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[56] <a
|
||
href="https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-27">https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[57] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/zoda_gov_ua/15423 ; https://t.me/zoda_gov_ua/15427 ; https://t.me/zoda_gov_ua/15429 ; https://t.me/zoda_gov_ua/15438; https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKrfUXaSXmBtthHEgRwMfAms7xEyvyU6N9MAyRYxgkALR2u5l ; https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid029PGV2knRTJUyRyubs4xRQuaAKZDWh5NJNYFqB8qtNofCDjngbrWXt2EQTzuzFysAl ">https://t.me/zoda_gov_ua/15423
|
||
; https://t.me/zoda_gov_ua/15427 ; ht...</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[58] <a
|
||
href="https://sprotyv">https://sprotyv</a>(dot)mod.gov.ua/2022/12/13/polyuvannya-na-vagnerivcziv/
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[59] <a
|
||
href="https://sprotyv">https://sprotyv</a>(dot)mod.gov.ua/2022/12/13/polyuvannya-na-vagnerivcziv/
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[60] <a
|
||
href="https://meduza">https://meduza</a>(dot)io/feature/2022/12/13/v-ukrainskih-telegram-kanalah-opublikovali-intervyu-byvshego-zaklyuchennogo-zaverbovannogo-v-chvk-vagnera
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[61] <a
|
||
href="https://meduza">https://meduza</a>(dot)io/feature/2022/12/13/v-ukrainskih-telegram-kanalah-opublikovali-intervyu-byvshego-zaklyuchennogo-zaverbovannogo-v-chvk-vagnera
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[62] <a
|
||
href="https://meduza">https://meduza</a>(dot)io/feature/2022/12/13/v-ukrainskih-telegram-kanalah-opublikovali-intervyu-byvshego-zaklyuchennogo-zaverbovannogo-v-chvk-vagnera
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[63] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKrfUXaSXmBtthHEgRwMfAms7xEyvyU6N9MAyRYxgkALR2u5l">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKr...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[64] <a
|
||
href="https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKrfUXaSXmBtthHEgRwMfAms7xEyvyU6N9MAyRYxgkALR2u5l">https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0odysZNsue1X4xD9DrKr...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[65] <a
|
||
href="https://dumatv">https://dumatv</a> dot
|
||
ru/news/protseduru-peredachi-voennoi-produktsii-v-ramkah-gosoboronzakaza-mogut-uprostit
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[66] <a
|
||
href="https://dumatv">https://dumatv</a> dot
|
||
ru/news/protseduru-peredachi-voennoi-produktsii-v-ramkah-gosoboronzakaza-mogut-uprostit
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[67] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/boris_rozhin/72713">https://t.me/boris_rozhin/72713</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[68] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV/20571;">https://t.me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV/20571;</a>
|
||
<a href="https://t.me/RSaponkov/4151">https://t.me/RSaponkov/4151</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[69] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV/20571;">https://t.me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV/20571;</a>
|
||
<a href="https://t.me/RSaponkov/4151">https://t.me/RSaponkov/4151</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[70] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/16170">https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/16170</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[71] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/16170">https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/16170</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[72] <a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1602409553362096129?s=20&t=ugpibJSGu-y70HcB76hbyw">https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1602409553362096129?s=20&t=ugpibJ...</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[73] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/privatnamemarnya/47809?single ">https://t.me/privatnamemarnya/47809?single
|
||
</a> ; <a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1600151315371347968;">https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1600151315371347968;</a>
|
||
<a
|
||
href="https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1600151829555294208; https://twitter.com/Madmechanic911/status/1602427513992536065">https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1600151829555294208;
|
||
https://t...</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[74] <a
|
||
href="https://sprotyv.mod.gov">https://sprotyv.mod.gov</a> dot
|
||
ua/2022/12/13/na-hersonshhyni-pidirvaly-kolaboranta/</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[75] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/240">https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/240</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[76] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/239">https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/239</a></p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[77] <a
|
||
href="https://ru.espreso dot">https://ru.espreso dot</a>
|
||
tv/tolko-lnr-i-dnr-rossiya-ne-planiruet-integrirovat-v-sudebnuyu-sistemu-okkupirovannye-zaporozhe-i-khersonshchinu
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[78] <a
|
||
href="https://ru.espreso">https://ru.espreso</a> dot
|
||
tv/tolko-lnr-i-dnr-rossiya-ne-planiruet-integrirovat-v-sudebnuyu-sistemu-okkupirovannye-zaporozhe-i-khersonshchinu
|
||
</p>
|
||
<p style="text-align: left;">[79] <a
|
||
href="https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/16191">https://t.me/m0sc0wcalling/16191</a>
|
||
</p>
|
||
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